Showing posts with label Ukraine. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ukraine. Show all posts

Tuesday, 28 October 2008

No crisis detox for DTEK

Business New Europe


Jason Corcoran in Moscow

October 28, 2008



The richest man in Ukraine and reputedly the whole of the former Soviet Union, Rinat Akhmetov, is embarking on a bold acquisition programme to pick up cheap energy assets across Central and Eastern Europe at a time when other oligarchs in the region are sweating over making margin calls.

Akhmetov, estimated by the Russian daily Kommersant to be worth $31.5bn, has largely been insulated from the international financial crisis due to the consistent demand for coal and electricity and his minimal exposure to the equity markets.

DTEK, Akhmetov's main Ukraine-based energy holding, is now talking to banks about assembling a cash pile to target coal assets worth up to $500m in Russia and the rest of Central and Eastern Europe. "We are pretty much immune to the fluctuations of the world economy and we are cash positive so we can fund our modernisation programme and our working capital through our own cash so we don't need to use the external market. We do need external markets only to fund M&A and refinance our debt," Yuriy Ryzhenkov, DTEK's chief financial officer, told bne in an interview.

Ryzhenkov said DTEK is looking to buy assets cheaply in the resource base in Russia close to Ukraine and westward in Poland, Romania and Hungary. "We are trying to balance our whole chain of production from coal mining to the end customer. We are also looking outside of Ukraine westwards for new customers and new generations in countries like Romania, Hungary and Poland. The assets there can have a synergy with existing assets in Ukraine," he said.

A bigger whole

Kyiv-headquartered DTEK is part of Ukraine's largest conglomerate Systems Capital Management (SCM) and is the leader in Ukraine's fuel energy industry. It runs the energy assets of Donetsk-based SCM and unites 16 enterprises, including Skhidenerho energy generating company, Service Invest and Enerhovuhillia energy distribution companies. DTEK is Ukraine's largest coal producer, owning the Pavlogradugol unit and the Donbass Komsomolets mine SHKD.PFT. It also owns electricity generator Vostokenergo and the electricity network Servis-Invest and PES-Energougol. According to 2007 figures, its market share in Ukrainian coal mining industry was 20.9%; its share in thermal power generation was 27.0%; and its market share in electricity distribution was 5.4%.

Last year, DTEK earned revenues equivalent to $1.86bn compared with $1.04bn in 2006, and operating profit more than doubled to almost $496m from $243m. Net profit rose to $196m from $102m.

Metinvest, Akhmetov's metals and mining holding is vertically integrated, with its energy needs met from DTEK. When markets improve, analysts expect both DTEK and Metinvest to move forward with their IPO plans and to provide an interesting cash-out to investors with a two- to three-year horizon.

Ryzhenkov said the ambitious $2bn capex programme of DTEK, which is wholly owned by Akhmetov and his wife, was also unaffected by the financial crisis. "The majority of it is addressed towards the coal mining assets. We are planning bringing the productivity of those assets up to the best western standards and that would put us in a stronger position against competitors outside of Ukraine. This programme is to be funded through our own cash flows. At the moment, DTEK is not paying dividends and all money generated is reinvested into existing assets."

With western banks offering unattractive terms for loans, Ryzhenkov said DTEK was looking at other avenues to fund its expansion programme such as bond issuance, syndicated loans with relationship banks and leasing transactions. Russian bank Troika Dialog has already underwritten two tranches worth UAH500m ($100m) on behalf of DTEK, but the company remains on hold, as they don't have a dire need to sell at current rates of 15-25% per annum. DTEK postponed the issuance of its debut Eurobond last year and is waiting for a window in the current market before opting for that financing route.

In recognition of DTEK's rude financial health, ratings agency Fitch in September placed the company on a positive outlook, although it did cite poor liquidity and a relatively short debt maturity profile as negatives. "We were quite pleased by the upgrade," commented Akhmetov. "We improved our financing metrics since last year when we first obtained the rating. At the same time as notching down the Ukraine rating outlook to negative, they changed our outlook to positive which was a good sign that we are doing something right and the agency considers us becoming more stable and self-sufficient."

Akhmetov has been a very divisive figure in Ukrainian politics thanks to his own political ambitions and close ties to Viktor Yanukovych, the twice-elected prime minister and leader of the opposition Party of the Regions. But Ryzhenkov insists that the negative press hasn't impeded the progress of the company. "Obviously, the company gets associated with the beneficial shareholder whenever we do something." However, he insists that while DTEK did indeed grow during the time the Party of Regions was in government, the company also prospered when President Viktor Yushchenko's party and Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko's eponymous bloc were in power too. "I can say the company is pretty much immune towards the political landscape," he said.

Even so, the latest round of political wrangling, which forced snap elections to be called for December, has had some effect, by slowing the progress of privatisation in the electricity generation sector. However, DTEK is optimistic the New Year will bring developments.

http://businessneweurope.eu/storyf1332

Monday, 3 March 2008

Polar switches its focus from Moscow to Ukraine

Financial News

Jason Corcoran in Kiev

03 March 2008


The decision by UK investment group Polar Capital to relocate its east European operations from Moscow to Kiev comes amid rising interest among international investors in Ukraine’s economy.

Polar, which runs traditional funds and hedge funds, said the move was prompted by a lack of opportunities in Russia and the growing importance of Ukraine.

Investors are lured to Kiev by attractive valuations and improvements in corporate standards, despite its low liquidity and lack of transparency.

Anton Khmelnitski, a director of Polar, said: “Russia is entering a period of sub-par returns compared with historical margins, and some of the value has disappeared. Ukraine is insulated from the credit fallout and its stock market has been a star performer in global equities. The main index was up 135% last year, which was only bettered by China.”

Investors believe Ukraine will grow following its admittance last month to the World Trade Organisation and the announcement of its co-hosting the 2012 European football championships with Poland.

Polar will shortly launch a Ukrainian fund to invest $500m (€332m) in public and private companies at early stages and those launching initial public offerings. It plans to hire four analysts in addition to the two fund managers transferring from Moscow.

The manager has taken stakes in Ukrainian insurance company Oranta and locally listed property developer Dragon-Ukrainian Properties & Development. The group has also made money for its investors through a series of pre-flotation Ukrainian investments, taking stakes in companies shortly before they listed.

The new Kiev operation will primarily focus on property, domestic food, pharmaceuticals, high-technology companies and insurance businesses.

Khmelnitski said: “The property market is at the beginning of its cycle and there are a lot of obvious opportunities in food, consumer goods and the beverage market. Accession to the WTO is a milestone event and will be key to this economy.”

Polar cut the Russian exposure of its $220m Elbrus fund from 70% to 15% six months ago and has sold its holdings in blue chips, including Russia’s electricity monopoly UES and Golden Telecom.

Khmelnitski believes Ukraine will outpace Russia or any other market in a bull market or even during a global slowdown because it is “cut off from the international capital markets”.

Russian bank Troika Dialog has also set up an office in Kiev, where it has secured an asset management licence.

Stephen Cohen, chief executive of Troika’s hedge fund business, said: “We are managing money for a Ukrainian pension fund and looking at different opportunities. The political climate is friendly for doing deals and people want to believe the story. If it’s this good without any government, how good
can it be?”

Ukraine’s legislative programme is at a virtual halt under President Viktor Yushchenko and Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, who are in a coalition for the second time after elections last autumn.

But Troika’s hedge fund has zero exposure to Ukraine and Cohen believes Russia is a better play.

The Ukraine’s main stock exchange, the PFTS, has fallen 5.9% since the start of the year, compared with Russia’s RTS index, which is off by 9.1% – Cohen believes Moscow is undervalued.

Moreover, turnover on Kiev’s stock market is just $28m a day, compared with about $6bn on Moscow’s. Cohen said: “Liquidity is difficult. If you start talking about an investment, you prevent yourself from executing.”

Tom Adshead, head of research at Sito Capital, an emerging markets hedge fund manager with offices in Kiev, said: “It is a very illiquid market but there is great value from buying and holding stocks benefiting from strong domestic growth.” Sito recently launched a Ukraine fund with $50m under management, which is about 40% invested in banks and 40% in steel.

Sweden’s East Capital and Baltic investor Parex Asset Management have also dedicated Ukrainian funds offering foreign investors access to the market.

US-owned, Moscow-based, Pio Global has announced plans for three mutual funds in Kiev focusing on emerging mid-cap companies. Russian commercial bank Uralsib is also establishing retail funds, a segment that is dominated by local participants.

Ukraine’s gross domestic product rose 7.3% last year, beating original targets. GDP growth this year is expected to slow down only fractionally. The value of domestic funds is not yet measurable as a percentage of Ukraine’s GDP. This compares with 5% of GDP in Russia and 10% in the US.

Alexander Pertsovsky, chief executive of Moscow-based investment bank Renaissance Capital, believes a growing boom in the number of retail investors this year will help market conditions.

Pertsovsky said at a Renaissance Capital conference last month in Kiev: “Once the boom starts in Ukraine, the mutual fund and asset management sector will grow dramatically, helping to expand domestic liquidity.”